Happy Halloween Eve, weather blog readers!
It's certainly an eerie morning outside with the gusty south winds, very warm temperatures and high humidity for late October.
You might get the sense of changing weather on the horizon.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed our area in a threat level 2 and 3 for severe storms this evening.
The Kansas City metro is at an enhanced risk level (3 of 5) for severe weather as a very strong cold front sweeps through.
THREATS:
The main concern continues to be damaging wind gusts, reaching 60-70 mph, along a line of thunderstorms.
However, it will also be important to follow the potential for tornadoes.
A rare 10% chance of strong tornadoes in our area has been highlighted by the SPC.
This outlook has our attention because of how rare it is this late in the fall season!
The area of concern goes from northern Oklahoma to eastern Kansas and up to the state line.
This tells us there's a greater chance of seeing a strong, destructive tornado from the right storm. This also says there's a 90% chance we don't see a tornado.
Please visit Cassie Wilson's blog from yesterday for more information on that!
TIMING:
Morning to 2 p.m. — Cloudy, warm and windy with the occasional shower or thunderstorm.
Any development that forms in this window will not be severe and will help limit the supercell development ahead of the line of storms. This is good news.
2 p.m. to 6 p.m. — Isolated strong storms may form ahead of the main line. These could roll across KC.
The upper-level support will be limited with these storms, so not too concerned, but worth watching.
6 p.m. to midnight — This is the time frame we would like you to stay WEATHER AWARE!
A line of storms will race toward Kansas City with heavy rain (reaching 1-2") and damaging winds most likely. If a tornado were to form, it would be along the leading edge and be brief, short-lived and weak. Something we will watch closely.
The greatest impact for KC will be between 9-11 p.m.
After midnight — Storms are moving into central Missouri and weakening in the process.
WHAT TO DO NOW:
Continue to keep yourself updated on TV and social media as the timing and impacts could shift.
Keep phones charged and on loud so that you are prepared when warnings are issued.
Luckily, for many, this will hit right around or before bedtime.
As always, we will be here for you all day to keep you safe and advised!
Thanks for reading.
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