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KSHB 41 Weather Blog | Warming trend around the corner heading into early March

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KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Good Thursday bloggers,

We are in for another very cold night before a warming trend begins Friday.

This has been quite a cold stretch. Look at the low temperatures this morning in Nebraska. These are not wind chill values! -33° in Valentine, -32° at Broken Bow to -25° at North Platte. We were -10° and it was -20° at K-State in Manhattan, Kansas, which seems warm compared to Nebraska.

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We have broken four records and could break one or two more.

The temperatures in pink are the new record. We broke record-cold high temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday. We broke record-cold low temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday. We will likely break a record low tonight if it drops to -1°. We are forecasting -3°. We could break the record-cold high Friday if clouds keep us to 19° or lower.

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The cold has brought a lot of ice floes to the Missouri and Kansas rivers.

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TONIGHT-FRIDAY:
It will not be as cold tonight as it could be due to clouds. Clouds act like a blanket at night. The clouds are coming from a small system in the Rockies and it may bring flurries and scattered snow showers Friday. A few locations could get dusted white. Otherwise, we do not expect accumulation.

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LOWS FRIDAY:
Clouds will help a tad.

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HIGHS FRIDAY:
Clouds during the day keep it cooler. And again, we may see scattered snow showers.

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SATURDAY:
Lows and highs will be 10-15 degrees warmer than Friday with abundant sunshine.

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SUNDAY-MONDAY:
Now the warming trend takes off. We are going 47° and 58° respectively. If the snowpack we are in the middle of melts faster, 60° will be easy on Monday.

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Now, let's take a quick peek into early March by looking at the upper-level flow.

FEBRUARY 21-28:
We will have a flatter, west-northwest flow. This means one or two small systems and milder flow from the Pacific Ocean. One of the systems is timed for next Wednesday-Thursday. It could bring a little bit of rain.

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MARCH 1-3:
We will see the flow turn more from the northwest. This means a shot of colder air, but no big storm system.

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MARCH 4-10:
The pattern will become more active. The next chance to see a bigger storm will be around March 5 as we see a big trough in the western USA. This bigger storm could bring rain and/or snow. We are not done with winter yet.

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Have a great weekend.
Stay healthy.